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A few days ago, we were wondering if the Superbowl might be the next major U.S. tragedy. However, as we mentioned in the post, it seemed more likely that it would be an event with an international component. The Sochi Olympics has the international component and is related to sports. This imminent disaster, however it will manifest, still appears to be quickly approaching.
To repeat what was said in the earlier post: the Disaster Curve (see above) peaked on 31 January 2014. This means that if the pattern continues as it has over the past couple of years, the next major U.S. tragic event is imminent. The Boston Marathon bombing occurred 6 days after the peak immediately before it. The Navy Yard shooting several months ago occurred only 1 day after the peak preceding it. We are now on day 4.
The type of disaster or tragic event can take many forms, but the current social mood pattern can often give us clues. The current pattern indicates that it will likely be type SW. This is associated with international events, the military, acts of war, sports, and leadership (e.g. the President or high ranking U.S. leader). Should there be a natural U.S. event on the horizon, type SW is most often associated with a volcano or flood. Globally, there may be disasters or tragic events during this period that are also of this same type.
While the event doesn't have to be related to sports, the Sochi Olympics as disaster would fit several of the key themes listed above for type SW. Let us hope and pray that the athletes and spectators stay out of harms way. We will know soon enough what this disaster curve has been trying to tell us.
