For several weeks now, we've been looking at the idea of Presidential Campaign technical analysis using a social mood derived Campaign Momentum Indicator and an adaptation of Elliott Wave analysis. Our last prediction was that Trump would see a gain in the polls and Clinton a drop (which we have been seeing). Both campaigns have been following a "corrective" structure of some type, and this most recent "c" wave or 5 wave move in each campaign should signal a completion of that direction.
What this means is that Trump is likely at a peak in gaining poll points and Clinton at a low in losing poll points. If this is the case, then it would make sense for Clinton to win the upcoming debate on Monday in the eyes of most voters. However, because we haven't yet seen evidence that either of these "c waves" have climaxed (i.e. begin to turn in the other direction), the debate may be Trump's final triumph, and Hillary's last big stumble just before things turn around. Let's see what happens.
What this means is that Trump is likely at a peak in gaining poll points and Clinton at a low in losing poll points. If this is the case, then it would make sense for Clinton to win the upcoming debate on Monday in the eyes of most voters. However, because we haven't yet seen evidence that either of these "c waves" have climaxed (i.e. begin to turn in the other direction), the debate may be Trump's final triumph, and Hillary's last big stumble just before things turn around. Let's see what happens.
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