As we await more information about a tragic event that should strongly impact the U.S. any day now (signal indicates most likely timeframe August 1-8, see previous post), the stock market is indicating strong bias toward a sharp sell-off. In addition, today's social mood is showing a shift toward "panic." Something big is brewing. The chart below shows how the stock market has been generally in the same spot for three weeks, while social mood has lead the way steadily down (mood most often leads the market's direction).
Expectations of news themes and stock market movement based on social mood patterns. Research spanning two decades converting social mood information into numerical data is the foundation of the material in this blog. Top internet search trends are scored daily in eight mood factors. The Market Mood Model converts those numbers into expected changes in the stock market, gold, crude oil, and the U.S. Dollar. Presented here is an analysis of the mood patterns and implications for the markets.
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