Social Mood and Stock Market Abnormally MANIC!

Social mood (as well as the stock market) has ups and downs, but arising in the last couple of days, a MANIC spike is concerning.  The chart below shows a normal range of ups and down in social mood factors since August.  The spike showing up is clearly NOT NORMAL.  Manic mood often accompanies instability, protests, and sometimes terrorist activity.  A "crazy" news event of some type is likely.

 

Update: 31 Oct 2015 Russian jet downed by ISIS That definitely is Not Normal and terrorist activity.

 

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The stock market is clearly overly excited as well.  The daily social mood signal is at resistance and doesn't seem to be able to break through.  The stock market has continued to move higher in spite of the anxiety the public is experiencing. Either people are about to be feeling a whole lot better, or the market is going to hit a wall.

 



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U.S. Market & Mood July 6-10, 2015

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According to social mood projections, Monday should be the most solidly bearish day for the stock market, and the middle of the week, the most clearly bullish or optimistic.  A major shift in the market pattern should take place near the end of the week at the same time that social mood shows increased instability of one type or another is likely to be a focal point of the news.  Spatial analysis shows that the most disruptive events are likely to occur outside of the United States.  Regardless, they should to get America's attention.