Showing posts with label israel. Show all posts
Showing posts with label israel. Show all posts

Sunday, July 20, 2014

Time to Panic?

We've been watching the setup develop for months of what has turned out to be a long and painful process, as the world fights to hold on to a sense of growth, expansion, and/or aggression (the alternatives being contraction, depression, and/or despair).  We called the first chapter of "World in Crisis" which we then discovered included the beginnings of the Ukraine crisis, a missing Malaysian airliner,  and a Korean ferry disaster.  Part II of this "World in Crisis" phenomenon saw ISIS take parts of Iraq and Syria, eruption of conflict with Israel/Gaza, further escalation in Ukraine, and another downed Malaysian aircraft with all aboard lost.  Part III is nearing.

There has been a steady negative social mood trend for two weeks.  Intraday movement (volatility) has begun to increase in the stock market, yet markets have managed to stay nearly flat.  Pressure is leaning on the markets for a 3% drop, just to catch up to where social mood has recently deteriorated to. The grand finale we have been watching for in the recent series of world events is not yet here, but as said previously, a drop in the market should be a clear signal that it's getting close.  The next few days could be quite informative. 


 

Monday, January 13, 2014

2014 Global and U.S. Overview

Projecting forward the cycles of collective mood and perception for 2014 gives us the following likely scenarios (at the end of this post is a link to download more complete info).

Global:

    March/April –Fuel Prices Soar on Iranian Nuke issue

    May/June –Uncertain Response Inflames Israel

    August –Iran Deal Proposed (Hillary-style)

    September –CPI Remains High, Markets Choppy

    October –Incumbents Worried

United States Government:

    Primary themes of bickering, inaction, indecision, and confusion

    March/April - U.S. government in crisis mode

2014 and You -- see the presentation pdf

Feel free to download your copy of the MoodCompass team's overview of 2014 here.
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Update 16 January '14 A Bill Stokes Debate, and Doubt, on Iran Deal