Since the end of January, a U.S. disaster or tragedy was waiting to happen (see post). Although the latest big ice storm Pax fit the description of the type of disaster predicted by the social mood patterns, as described in the earlier post, it was unclear whether it would create sufficient "release" of "disaster pressure" (for lack of better words to describe it), or whether something else was right around the corner. Today we can issue an all clear for imminent major U.S. tragic events.
Social mood data gave U.S. natural disaster fatality estimates of 18 though February 14, and 27 as of February 14. As of 14 February, Pax death toll was estimated at 25. There were record flight cancellations, a 100 car pile up in Pennsylvania, and economic losses from closures of shops, transportation, etc. This article (Winter storm leaves 25 dead in US East Coast, more than 2100 flights cancelled) gives further details. The Pax event fulfilled the scale of disaster supported by collective mood.
Below is the latest chart of the differential between social mood and mood themes found in the news. The "orange line" referred to in the earlier post has been added to the chart after Pax. This signifies the required release has occurred.
While disasters or tragic events can occur anywhere at anytime, there are no signals from collective mood for any imminent major tragic events within the United States.
Social mood data gave U.S. natural disaster fatality estimates of 18 though February 14, and 27 as of February 14. As of 14 February, Pax death toll was estimated at 25. There were record flight cancellations, a 100 car pile up in Pennsylvania, and economic losses from closures of shops, transportation, etc. This article (Winter storm leaves 25 dead in US East Coast, more than 2100 flights cancelled) gives further details. The Pax event fulfilled the scale of disaster supported by collective mood.
Below is the latest chart of the differential between social mood and mood themes found in the news. The "orange line" referred to in the earlier post has been added to the chart after Pax. This signifies the required release has occurred.
While disasters or tragic events can occur anywhere at anytime, there are no signals from collective mood for any imminent major tragic events within the United States.
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